Showing posts with label Euro 2016. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Euro 2016. Show all posts

Thursday, 23 June 2016

Euro 2016: A mountain too high for Slutsky


If there ever was a video to capture the mood of Russian football at the moment, the widely shared reaction of national team boss Leonid Slutsky last week fits the bill perfectly. At the beginning of the month I wrote a rather pessimistic preview of Sbornaya’s forthcoming Euro 2016 campaign, but little did I expect the uphill task that I had predicted to become ever more vertical with every minute played in France. Less than two weeks since the tournament kicked off, Russia are heading home, with 1 point to show for their efforts, or lack of after a humiliating 3-0 reverse by Wales.

The reasons for such a dramatic failure are countless, ranging from pure misfortune, right through to fault being left at the door of pretty much every stakeholder within the national game, including national team coach, players and RFU alike. With only two years to go until their hosting of the World Cup, Russia are left with only friendlies to prepare for the biggest sporting event the country’s ever seen, and they will have to do so with a new manager after Slutsky immediately withdrew any suggestion that he was to extend his stay in charge.

To start with, injuries were a clear factor in the team’s dismal displays. Pre his squad announcement at the end of May, Slutsky knew he was without their most talented midfielder in Alan Dzageov, arguably their best wide man in Denis Cheryshev alongside regular qualification starting left back Yuri Zhirkov. In preparation the situation worsened, with Dzagoev’s expected partner in midfield Igor Denisov withdrawing in the warm up friendlies through injury, while their predicted replacements in the starting line-up Denis Glushakov and Roman Shirokov failed to find total match fitness until the final match.

The final nail in the coffin came late on, with Oleg Shatov pulling out from the must win match against Wales. By this stage, his appearance probably wasn’t going to influence any suggestion of clinching three points, however it almost certainly confirmed Slutsky’s selection for the pivotal encounter, one that hadn’t impressed in their previous two group matches with England and Slovakia.

When it comes to Slutsky’s tactical nous, prior to the tournament you could point to positives or negatives. Positives being his excellent record with CSKA Moscow, an attacking team fresh off the back of clinching the Russian Premier League title, or you could instead look to his cautious, often timid approach in Europe, where CSKA despite their dominance domestically have looked a pale imitation of themselves in the Champions League, while the likes of rivals Zenit have proved more than capable on the same stage.

When it came to Euros duty, Slutsky reverted to the latter; failing to play to his team’s strengths, selecting players out of position, and clearly demonstrating he hadn’t planned his tactics through enough before his final squad selection. Each of the three games Slutsky started all three of his squad’s forwards, nonsensical tactically, as all three lacked width to fully utilise their potential, but at the very least nullifying any attacking changes from the bench.

Slutsky can initially point to critical injuries in centre midfield, and while their replacements didn’t live up to the billing fully, the attacking department was full of riches to be plundered. Slutsky had two ready-made wide men at his disposal, two players that would have played into the hands of first choice striker Artem Dzyuba, in the aforementioned Shatov and Aleksandr Samedov. The former was painfully utilised centrally instead, other than a short last 20 minute stint against Slovakia out wide (which led to Russia’s late goal), while the latter didn’t even make it on the field.

Much was made of the ageing backline duo of Vasili Berezutski and Sergei Ignashevich, but the pair looked solid against the strongest team in the group in England. Predictably however, when Russia started chasing the game against Slovakia and Wales, the defensive frailties were exposed. All five goals conceded in these games were avoidable, and while Igor Smolnikov may have impressed some outside viewers with his willing attacking play, he was the man caught out on more than one occasion.

In an attacking sense it’s hard to pick out which players were at fault, due to the questionable tactical decisions put in place. 20 year old attacking midfielder Aleksandr Golovin, tipped as the breakthrough name in the Russian squad, was unusually pushed back into a holding role, a position he neither looked comfortable in, nor was expected to excel in. Further up the pitch there were some nice interplays between the attacking trio, however a miserable tally of 2 goals across two games (both via defensive routes) tells its own story.

The immediate outcry to the humbling by Wales, was to focus on the domestic game, which despite the hope brought by an influx of money over the last decade has broadly petered out. The debate ignited around Russia’s plans to further restrict the use of overseas nationals playing in the league, which in the 2014/15 season was 7, going down to 6 the following year, but some were even questioning whether this was low enough.

Going against the grain of the RFU, national team players Vasili Berezutski and Roman Shirokov were quick to deride the restrictions, the former stating "It's clear that the limit on foreign players doesn't work. Russian players need to move to Europe." The very fact that within a squad of 23, only one player played outside of the country underlines the willingness to move abroad. Even then days after the tournament it looks like that one player, being recently nationalised Roman Neustadter is set to join the RPL also with CSKA.

Further restrictions to overseas player registration is going to intensify the country’s top talent in fewer clubs. Already CSKA and Zenit feel this, contributing 13 of the 23 members to the squad, some of whom aren’t even regular first-teamers. The criticism of this way of hoarding talent, is that player’s relax on high wages, much higher than what they would get elsewhere in Europe and become lazy in their career development. Russia’s home based members, are only bettered by one nation illustrates their urgency to move forward, even the likes of Spain, Italy and Germany are seeing more of their players move abroad.

The only comparable example is England, where all 23 of their members still play domestically. While it’s easy to suggest players are unwilling to test themselves abroad, the lack of foreign player restrictions alongside being in arguably the best league in the world for talent is still leading to a competitive national team squad that could compete for titles.

Looking forward the RFU may concentrate on this as a priority to make the national team more competitive by 2018, given every man in the squad bar one will be 27 or over by the World Cup. The over reliance on the defensive duo stated before of Berezutski and Ignashevich continues to look the most severe cause for concern. Given neither has any worthy competition so far, you could well see a combined age of 73 trotting out at centre-back come the World Cup.

In the dugout is another question. With Slutsky handing over the reins, immense pressure not only on a footballing level but also on a nationalistic one will be expected of whoever comes in. Whether it be Stanislav Cherchesov, Yuri Semen, Kurban Berdyev or A.N. Other, the task at hand will be not for the feint hearted. As we gaze back at the youngest coach at the Euros' furious, stressed and crumpled demeanour, many will ask, why would you want to put yourself in his shoes?

Wednesday, 8 June 2016

Euro 2016: Slutsky's uphill task


Nearly a year ago to the day, Russia were humbled in their own backyard by Austria, leaving the Sbórnaya comfortably adrift of their rivals in the race for Euro 2016 qualification. Fast forward 12 months, considering where they were, potentially one of the darkest days in recent Russian football history, the fact I’m writing a tournament preview of this squad is something to be positive about, despite the months of general weariness that followed their qualification.

The positives to come from that Austrian defeat were quickly realised, the long overdue sacking of Fabio Capello, and the resulting appointment of current CSKA Moscow boss Leonard Slutsky were universally welcomed across Russia. Slutsky’s appointment was initially seen as a temporary fix on a job share basis, to re-stabilise the ship ahead of the Euros, and how (!) he accomplished it. 

When the national team returned to qualification in September they returned with vigor beating rivals for second spot Sweden 1-0 in Moscow before sweeping away Liechtenstein 7-0. Assurance of their qualification followed with hard fought but crucial victories over Moldova and Montenegro, Russia’s bleak situation had been turned on it's head within a matter of months.

The style of play hadn’t necessarily changed a hell of a lot, Russia were still sitting deep to compensate for an ageing backline, but with the ball they had more freedom to express themselves, in truth they looked happier to be part of the national team setup, something that hadn't been seen under Capello for a while. 

Instantly the change of management gave the side the boost the fan base craved. However, as we look back on it, a temporary boost is all that it probably was, as the same old problems inevitably rear their heads in run up to France.

The headaches that have climaxed over the last week of preparation resulting in two unfavourable friendly performances started with the initial squad selection. 

A notable caveat to this would be the miserable and lengthening casualty list which continues to plow the team. Defensive anchor Igor Denisov is the latest injury victim forced to watch from home, joining Denis Cheryshev, Alan Dzagoev, Oleg Kuzmin and Yuri Zhirkov in missing out on the squad, all of whom would’ve likely been on the plane to France, however the latter’s possible exclusion could’ve been more to do with his strained relationships with Slutsky than his general fitness.

The injury to Dzagoev, ahead of the squad announcement was seen as the team's killer blow, losing someone of such influence and ability would hurt any team. But the recent news concerning Denisov's withdrawal could possibly hit the side's fortunes even further, this time a player of less obvious technical ability, but losing someone with the grit and positioning that Denisov offers creates yet another cavernous hole within the Russian midfield.

Aside from the injuries, or extenuated from them, Russia's dearth in up and coming talent continues to be a cause for concern. Russia go into the Euros with the second oldest squad in the tournament, a squad averaging just below 30, while only one player is under 25 (CSKA's 20 year old midfielder Aleksandr Golovin). Now if a team was at its peak this would be understandable, however for a side in rebuild ahead of their home World Cup in two years time, many will rightly ask; where's the future going to come from?

It seems for now it may depend on numerous short term fixes. The last minute nationalisation of Brazilian keeper Guilherme and former Germany international Roman Neustadter has assured depth to the squad however it doesn't add any extra quality on the field as both will likely be down the pecking order next week. 

The decision to recruit from outside is even more surprising given the controversy of offering foreign players citizenship has caused before, without any positive implication to be felt in the run up to 2018.

Neustadter's inclusion initially seemed the sensible option to finally create some competition at centre back, amongst the settled but increasingly creaky CSKA Moscow pairing of Vasili Berezutski and Sergei Ignashevich. This opportunity looks now to have been lost, with the latter two commanding back-to-back starts in the last two warm up friendlies, Neustadter only used as a second half substitute. 

The defence then looks pretty settled, which Slutsky can point to as a positive, with the central duo's familiarity with keeper Igor Akinfeev behind them further underlining this. However up field, with injury and rotation coming into play, the attack looks less predictable.

Come Saturday, Russia will line up in either a 4231 or a 433 formation, the latter of which was fully utilised in the last week against Czech Republic and Serbia and looks the favourite to be rolled out again against England. 

The debate surrounding who those front three will be is turning into the most animated talking point ahead of kick off, after Slutsky rolled out the attacking trio of Kokorin-Dzyuba-Smolov from the start in both warm up tests. All three of course are more accustomed to the central striking role, and based on the last week's performances' they haven't fully embraced the current strategy of utlising them all from the start.

The shoe horning all of Russia's three strikers in the squad into the first 11, strikes some as a pursuit of fantasy football over tactical profligacy. Artem Dzyuba has had the best season of his career, notching impressive figures in Euro qualification and the Champions League, Krasnodar's Fedor Smolov was the Golden Boot winner domestically, while Aleksandr Kokorin, despite yet fulfilling his promise since his move to Zenit in February, is clearly the most likely Russian striker to turn a game with his ability. The selection headache for Slutsky of who to pick has simply been answered; select all three.

Of course selecting the best 11 players doesn't lead to the best team performance on the pitch, which one would assume would see either Dzyuba or Smolov take a place on the bench to be used as a second half substitute rather than shifted out to an unfamiliar left flank role. 

On the right side, Kokorin does have greater capability to fit the role, and with a more conventional left midfielder (most likely Oleg Shatov), Kokorin's defensive responsibility will likely be lessened.

In a usual world this would seem the logical switch, however with Denisov's last minute injury pull up and worries over Roman Shirokov lasting the whole 90 minutes, fielding all three forwards is far more than just a possibility. 

This asks further questions of Slutsky's decision to only take three strikers, while veteran Aleksandr Kerzhakov could've easily been selected as cover. Instead his ex-Zenit team mate Artur Yuspurov has become the beneficiary of Denisov's absence, jumping at the chance via a strange coincidence by which Yuspurov was staying in the same hotel as the national team on a personal holiday in Monaco last week. If anything was a mere matter of convenience, these circumstances suggest so.

Anyway I digress, and for as much as I question some of the squad selections or the team's tactics going into the tournament, the proof will inevitablely be in the pudding come Saturday's kick off. 

If England turn up and live up to their ability, Russia will struggle, while in matches against Slovakia and Wales the following week, you'd expect the fight for advancement to become more essential.

It's important to note that this will be the last month of competitive action the team will have until they host the World Cup in two years time (discounting the semi-competitive warm up that is the Confederations Cup next summer). 

Any experiment here, be it affording more time to young Golovin in the centre of midfield, easing Neustadter into the first team or trying out a new system to take forward into their preparations will prove invaluable down the line. All of this of course will play second fiddle to the pursuit of progression, as it should do, however with Slutsky's temporary spell in charge possibly coming to an end in July, you'd question if anyone has even half an eye on 2018 at this early stage.

As a Russian football fan, born and living in England, I'm wincing at thought of Kane, Vardy, Alli et al, coming up against the aged legs of Berezutski and Ignashevich. It has though been proven before that Slutsky has it in him to rile up a squad on the ropes as he did 12 months ago. I'll have that at the forefront of my mind as Saturday evening draws ever nearer.