Friday, 1 April 2016

WC/AC Qualifying Review (Round 2 MD9 & 10)


Tuesday saw the finale of the joint AFC World Cup/Asian Cup qualifiers Round 2 stage, as the continent splits to compete for qualification on two separate fronts. Alongside direct qualification for 2019’s Asian Cup in the United Arab Emirates, the 12 sides to compete further for a place in Russia 2018 have been confirmed as Australia, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Uzbekistan, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iraq, Thailand, Syria, China PR and Qatar. The remaining participants will have to contend with Asian Cup qualification alone when Round 3 of both procedures kicks off in September. Looking back on the last week of football, here are some of the players, teams and talking points that particularly stood out.

The Player

It could be argued that Aaron Mooy is the whole Round’s most impressive player, going from being left out of Australia’s Asian Cup winning squad right through to one of their most important starters by the end of qualification in just over a year. His quality and influence has grown alongside his confidence to dictate play, with this week being by far his most devastating in Socceroo yellow. With plenty of rotation being actioned by Postecoglou over the final two games against Tajikistan and Jordan, Aaron Mooy’s name in the heart of the midfield remained unchanged, speaking volumes of his indispensability within the continental champions' hopes of World Cup qualification.

He was on form from the off against Tajikistan on Thursday, as he went on to assist two of the seven unanswered goals, but his performance in the crunch group decider with Jordan on Tuesday moved up another level. Involved in all three of Australia’s first half goals, the Socceroos were quickly past the previously hopeful Jordan side coached for the week by Harry Redknapp, eventually ending up 5-1 to the home side. Mooy was involved in a creative capacity in Australia’s first and third goals, with the same tandem of players; Robbie Kruse who teed up Tim Cahill for a brace. Mooy netted himself in between those goals, bursting down the left in space before finishing past the keeper coolly.

To further complement his phenomenal goal and assist records replicated in domestic football where he continues to dominate nearly every A-League statistic, Mooy’s usefulness for Postecoglou derives from the manager’s wish to regularly adapt his side’s play. Whether it be a defensive, more counter attacking game or a more possession focused patient approach, Mooy can fill in as a defensive terrier, midfield architect or lung burster from deep. All these characteristics make for an unsurprising read when you consider Mooy has featured in more qualification games than the likes of Mark Milligan, Mile Jedinak and Massimo Luongo. While his future in domestic football is far from secure, with a move to Europe in the offing over the summer, one thing is for certain; he’ll be starting for Postecoglou as soon as the Socceroos return in September.

The Team

They were all but gone weren’t they? Or so we thought anyway. Going into the final two matches of Round 2, China PR’s pursuit of a lucky loser spot looked in tatters. Defeat to Qatar and subsequent 0-0 draws with Hong Kong hadn’t exactly done their record any favours, and with Qatar running riot with a 100% record at the top of Group C, World Cup qualification continued to look distant. Over the winter break, out went the under fire Alain Perrin, and in came Gao Hongbo on a temporary contact for his second spell in the dugout purely to regain some respect for Chinese national football.

Two games later he’s turned things around, partially due to others collapsing but in the main for the improved back to back victories last week that clinched the final “best runners up” spot ahead of Korea DPR. Korea themselves had it in their own hands but blew their chances with a spectacular last 10 minute collapse away in the Philippines. Meanwhile in Doha, China were not just hanging on but thriving against arguably the team of the round in Qatar. Gao had made some brave calls including dropping target man Yang Xu for the red hot Jiang Ning who smashed in a hat-trick against the Maldives four days previous in what was his first national team appearance since 2013.

The picture isn’t wholly rosy by any means, there are plenty of areas to work on ahead of September but China at least looked confident and at times free flowing. Second half goals from Huang Bowen (criminally underused by Perrin) and Wu Lei late on sealed their place in the next round and for now brought the fans back around to the side of the national team. The next question now regards Gao’s future. Recently the CFA have made no secret in that they prefer overseas coaches to their own, the inflated reputation and financial muscle that Chinese football is experiencing at the moment also suggests Gao won’t continue on in his role for much longer. For now however the CFA can breathe a huge sigh of relief at avoiding a potential footballing disaster.

The Talking Point

As we’ve now reached the climax of Round 2, it feels the right time to fully assess the merits and constraints of the new format rolled out by FIFA and the AFC for this cycle of qualification. From a very narrow field, which allowed the established nations later entry but less game time for the smaller nations, to an even spread of game time amongst the vast majority, the main success point has been guaranteed regular football for the former “emerging” nations of the AFC.

We were instantly rewarded for this levelling of the playing field with improved performances from Hong Kong (pushing China hard for second place), Guam (who held Oman to a home), the Philippines (who beat Bahrain) and Korea DPR (who came within 10 minutes of qualifying for Round 2, beating Uzbekistan along the way) but in the end there were few if any real surprises; Thailand overcoming Iraq to top Group F wasn’t the greatest of shocks, while Syria’s headline grabbing second place finish was seen way before the draw was even made. Even then, despite looking streets ahead of their former peers (scoring an average of over 5 goals a game against them), Syria were easily beaten without scoring in both ties against top dogs Japan.

This lack of tangible success after Round 2 alongside isolated match days which coupled the best and worst teams in the groups against one another ending up predictably in clear one sided encounters, have left outsiders and critics sceptical not only of the new format but the level of Asian football in general. The initial aim is far from lost though, it’s really just got going. The increase in playing time is only half way through given Asian Cup Round 3 is just around the corner, this will build upon previous match experience, continental logistics etc. but will also pit similar strength sides against one another on a sustained basis. Every round and every game will improve the confederation from the bottom up, so it’s likely that the real benefit of the format switch won’t truly be realised for another 2 to 3 cycles.

No comments:

Post a Comment